London ‘likely’ to be in Tier 2 after warnings of economic disaster as Liverpool set to escape Tier 3 after mass tests
LONDON is expected to into Tier 2 from next week as Liverpool is tipped to go drop down from Tier 3 to 2.
Ministers have met to discuss which regions will be placed in each tier as local mayors and MPs are warning of the economic disaster crippling restrictions could have.
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London is expected to go into Tier 2 from next week[/caption]
The BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg tweeted: “What happens next in lockdown matters for the economy too… after meetings tonight London’s likely to be in Tier 2 along with most parts of England, only a handful of areas will be in Tier 1 with lightest limits, still significant numbers in Tier 3.”
However, Liverpool is expected to be the first region to escape the toughest tier restrictions.
The city could be seen as a success story after their infection rates dropped from 700 cases per 100,000 five weeks ago to just 162 following the roll-out of mass testing.
Manchester could face Tier 3 restrictions, despite local infection rate falling from 382 in the previous week to 265.
Concerned MPs have demanded the capital should be in Tier 1 in a desperate bid to help the economy recover after losing billions since the first lockdown in March.
Hospitality bosses have warned three quarters of pubs, restaurants and cafes could go bust if the city isn’t placed into the lowest tier from December 3.
Former Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith, MP for Chingford and Woodford Green, told the Standard: “This looks like a political gesture to placate other areas.
“There is no reason to be moved from 2 to 3, and they should now publish the cost/benefit analysis on such action.”
Infection rates are going down throughout London, with more than half of the boroughs seeing falls in confirmed cases in data up to November 19.
Many spots in central London are also seeing infection rates nearer that of previous criteria for Tier 1.
London Mayor Sadiq Khan said earlier he expected the capital would be in Tier 2, and has spoken out against being shoved into Tier 3.
Nickie Aiken, MP for the Cities of London and Westminster, said: “I would be extremely disappointed if London is put into Tier 3.
“The near Herculean efforts many restaurants, cafes, casinos and cafes etc have put in place to make their premises Covid secure should be recognised.
“I have seen no data to date to provide the evidence that the capital should enter Tier 3 rather than 2.”
The London borough of Redbridge had the highest infection rate in the city with 298 cases per 100,000.
Tower Hamlets and Newham came in next with 228 cases per 100,000 and 228 per 100,000 respectively.
Both cities are expected to be treated as one area, rather than broken down by boroughs.
Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham insisted the cases had been coming down in the city, and infection-rates were the best they had been for sometime.
He thinks the Government are likely to put the Northern City into the toughest set of rules which could lead to thousands more job losses.
He told regional journalists on Wednesdsay: “I think it’s fair to say we are headed at some speed toward the Tier 3/Tier 2 borderline.”
And he added that it’s “more likely than not that the Government will put us in Tier 3″.
But he said he wanted a serious review of the rules in two weeks’ time to try and get the city out of it and into Tier 2.
Kent and Hull are regions that have seen sharp increases in infections as the tier announcement is imminent.
It comes after many areas including Liverpool, Greater Manchester, Warrington in Cheshire and parts of North Yorkshire were in the third tier.
Tier 3 means pubs, restaurants and cafes have to shut – along with indoor entertainment.
People can’t mix between households, either.
The 10pm curfew will carry on – but punters will have an hour to finish their drinks and food before being booted out.
Boris Johnson has already admitted that more places will have to go into the top tier after the lockdown ends next week.
The Tiers system will be revealed in full on Thursday – with Matt Hancock making a statement in the House of Commons.
The Top 10 areas with worst infection rates
All rates per 100,000
Swale – 539.7
Hull – 529.3,
Thanet – 491.8
East Lindsey – 470.6
Stoke-on-Trent – 453.6
Dudley – 452.1
Boston – 438.9
Sandwell – 435.7
Hyndburn – 435.6
Kirklees – 430.7
The Government hasn’t spelled out the exact criteria for what will make an area go into which Tier.
Mr Johnson has said the allocation is based on “common sense” with a number of metrics used to decide how strongly to restrict areas.
These include case detection rates in the over 60s, the rate at which cases are falling or rising, pressure on the NHS and case detection rates in all age groups.
The number of positive cases found in a percentage of tests taken in certain areas will also come into consideration.
There are fears that most of the country could be put in Tier 2 or 3 – effectively banning people from seeing family and friends indoors until the spring.
Manchester is likely to go back into the top Tier, Andy Burnham said on Wednesday[/caption]
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Tories are already rounding on ministers to demand their areas stay out of the top level of restrictions.
They are demanding a cost benefit analysis and reams of data to back up the theory that the stricter rules will help bring down infections.
On Wednesday, the PM promised he would fulfil their wishes and give them information on why the Tiers system was working.